PAEEKvs
Polemidion
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAEEK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PAEEK 4-0 Polemidion
Original prediction
PAEEK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 77.3% | 53.7% | -23.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.88 | 15.5% | 23.4% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 12.65 | 7.2% | 22.9% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
PAEEK
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
PAEEK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAEEKWWLDL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PolemidionLLW
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33
BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
PAEEKPolemidion
66.7Attack11.1
33.3Defence55.6
66.7Form33.3
58.8Power36.7
1.73xG1.13