Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAEEK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PAEEK 2-1 Akritas
Original prediction
PAEEK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 43.6% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.9% | 27.6% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.0% | 28.8% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
PAEEK
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
PAEEK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PAEEKWLDLD
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AkritasDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PAEEKAkritas
66.7Attack16.7
16.7Defence50.0
50.0Form16.7
47.8Power31.3
1.69xG1.21