Padovavs
Virtus Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80