Padovavs
Virtus Verona
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Virtus Verona are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00