GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 10/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PadovaVicenza Virtus
48.2Attack45.6
75.4Defence73.7
67.5Form62.3
64.8Power61.9
0.82xG0.61
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