Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trento are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60