Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trento are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00