Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Renate are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40