GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/25/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaWDWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PRO VercelliWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PadovaPRO Vercelli
48.2Attack43.9
75.4Defence58.8
67.5Form46.5
64.8Power51.1
1.33xG0.56
View match centre →