Padovavs
PRO Vercelli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PRO Vercelli are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20