Padovavs
Pro Patria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/7/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pro Patria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40