Padovavs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/17/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60