PadovavsPergolettese

Padova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.