Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mantova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40