GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Legnago Salus are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Legnago SalusWD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 2.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
PadovaLegnago Salus
48.2Attack40.4
75.4Defence65.8
67.5Form49.1
64.8Power53.5
1.10xG0.52
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