Padovavs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/23/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80