Padovavs
Giana Erminio
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 11/4/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20