Padovavs
Fiorenzuola
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/17/2023, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20