GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 12/17/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
FiorenzuolaDWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PadovaFiorenzuola
48.2Attack33.3
75.4Defence45.6
67.5Form33.3
64.8Power39.9
1.82xG0.41
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