Padovavs
Feralpisalo
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/20/2024, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Feralpisalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60