Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Clodiense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20