GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/5/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Caldiero Terme are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 26.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Caldiero TermeLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PadovaCaldiero Terme
48.2Attack34.2
75.4Defence43.9
67.5Form28.9
64.8Power38.1
1.89xG0.42
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