Padovavs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 12/4/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40