Padovavs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 4/13/2024, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atalanta II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40