GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 2/24/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaWWDDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arzignano ValchiampoDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PadovaArzignano Valchiampo
48.2Attack28.1
75.4Defence67.5
67.5Form38.6
64.8Power46.1
1.07xG0.35
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