GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/20/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alessandria are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

62.8%

Model confidence

62.8%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaDLWWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
AlessandriaLLLDD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PadovaAlessandria
48.2Attack17.5
75.4Defence57.9
67.5Form20.2
64.8Power34.3
1.44xG0.29
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