Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Padova are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padova
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20