GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/15/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Padova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Padova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Padova hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Padova holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Padova

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Padova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PadovaLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffeDDDWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
PadovaAlbinoleffe
48.2Attack29.8
75.4Defence67.5
67.5Form39.5
64.8Power47.9
1.06xG0.38
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