Padova U19vs
Sampdoria U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padova U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Padova U19 0-4 Sampdoria U19
Original prediction
Padova U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 31.7% | 37.8% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 42.7% | 35.5% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Padova U19
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Padova U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40