Padihamvs
Pontefract Collieries
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Padiham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Padiham have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Pontefract Collieries are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Padiham hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the FA Trophy, while Padiham holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Padiham
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Padiham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40