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Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Last updated 12:39
Paderborn II

Paderborn II

Home
L
05
Full time
SV Drochtersen/Assel

SV Drochtersen/Assel

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
SV Drochtersen/Assel33%
Paderborn II32%
Win probability
Paderborn II
32%
Draw
35%
SV Drochtersen/Assel
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Paderborn II
9
SV Drochtersen/Assel
73
Defence
Paderborn II
66
SV Drochtersen/Assel
27
Momentum
Paderborn II
0
SV Drochtersen/Assel
33
Danger (xG)
Paderborn II
0.00
SV Drochtersen/Assel
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.50 xG for Paderborn II and 1.39 xG for SV Drochtersen/Assel — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.11), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.90 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Paderborn II's Defensive Stability (66) and SV Drochtersen/Assel's (27) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Paderborn II)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (SV Drochtersen/Assel)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Paderborn II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (SV Drochtersen/Assel)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Paderborn IIPaderborn II
LWW
SV Drochtersen/AsselSV Drochtersen/Assel
D

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Paderborn II32%
Draw35%
SV Drochtersen/Assel33%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Paderborn II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Paderborn II take on SV Drochtersen/Assel in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

These sides have drawn 1 of their last 3 meetings. The historical pattern between these teams consistently produces tight, level results — a fixture tendency the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying numbers are also close.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Paderborn II

Paderborn II

L
vs Verl
15 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Hessen Kassel
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs SV Rodinghausen
16 May 2026
20
SV Drochtersen/Assel

SV Drochtersen/Assel

D
@ SSV Jeddeloh
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Paderborn II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Paderborn II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Paderborn II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paderborn II vs SV Drochtersen/Assel?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more