GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 7/30/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Gutersloh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Paderborn II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Gutersloh are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gutersloh hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Regionalliga - West, while FC Gutersloh holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Gutersloh

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

FC Gutersloh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Paderborn IIWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC GuterslohWLLWL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Paderborn IIFC Gutersloh
66.7Attack50.0
16.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
47.8Power83.3
1.43xG1.77
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