Paderborn IIvs
Borussia Dortmund II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - West · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Borussia Dortmund II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Paderborn II 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II
Original prediction
Borussia Dortmund II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.3% | 23.4% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 21.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 42.1% | 55.1% | 13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Borussia Dortmund II
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Borussia Dortmund II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80