GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/12/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pacos Ferreira are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while União de Leiria are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Pacos Ferreira hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pacos FerreiraLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
União de LeiriaWL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Pacos FerreiraUnião de Leiria
41.2Attack43.1
65.7Defence60.8
51.0Form41.2
54.0Power49.0
1.05xG0.80
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