GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/26/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pacos Ferreira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Pacos Ferreira are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Tondela are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.0 against 52.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Segunda Liga, while Pacos Ferreira holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pacos Ferreira

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Pacos Ferreira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pacos FerreiraLDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
TondelaDDWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Pacos FerreiraTondela
41.2Attack45.1
65.7Defence57.8
51.0Form48.0
54.0Power52.3
1.12xG0.84
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