Pacos Ferreiravs
Leça
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 10/23/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leça · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pacos Ferreira 1-0 Leça
Original prediction
Leça
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 31.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 28.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 39.3% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Leça
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Leça has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Pacos FerreiraWDDLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LeçaWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pacos FerreiraLeça
33.3Attack50.0
44.4Defence55.6
27.8Form55.6
38.1Power54.4
1.03xG1.42