GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 8/3/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pacific FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pacific FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while York 9 FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and York 9 FC hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (29.0 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Canadian Premier League, while Pacific FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pacific FC

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Pacific FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pacific FCLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
York 9 FCWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pacific FCYork 9 FC
37.5Attack38.1
29.2Defence26.2
10.4Form33.3
29.0Power35.0
1.73xG1.52
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