Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC
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Supra du Quebec
AwayThe model projects 1.59 xG for Pacific FC and 1.71 xG for Supra du Quebec — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.11), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Pacific FC's Attack Score (73) exceeds Supra du Quebec's Defensive Stability (27), and Supra du Quebec's attack (34) similarly tests Pacific FC's defence (0). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.30 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating elevated xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Pacific FC's Attack Score (73) vs Supra du Quebec's Defensive Stability (27) and Supra du Quebec's attack (34) vs Pacific FC's defence (0) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesPacific FCSupra du QuebecProbability breakdown
Pacific FC leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Pacific FC Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Pacific FC host Supra du Quebec in Canadian Premier League. Pacific FC have recorded DDLLLL in recent matches while Supra du Quebec arrive with a run of LLWLWL.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Supra du Quebec hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Supra du Quebec.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Supra du Quebec, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Pacific FC score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Supra du Quebec have been conceding 2.33 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.11 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
Recent form
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec?
GoalVio's model predicts Pacific FC to win with 44% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.