Pacific FCvs
HFX Wanderers FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pacific FC 4-3 HFX Wanderers FC
Original prediction
HFX Wanderers FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.3% | 27.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.5% | 22.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.2% | 49.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
HFX Wanderers FC
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80