Pacific FCvs
Cavalry FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cavalry FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (13%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pacific FC 0-1 Cavalry FC
Original prediction
Cavalry FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.40 | 16.6% | 8.4% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.0% | 14.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 61.4% | 77.3% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Cavalry FC
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Cavalry FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80