Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60