Pachuca Wvs
Santos Laguna W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pachuca W 4-1 Santos Laguna W
Original prediction
Pachuca W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 76.8% | 52.3% | -24.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.22 | 14.6% | 21.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 10.48 | 8.6% | 26.5% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60