Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Pachuca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Puebla W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60