Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80