Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00