GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/5/2023, 1:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Pachuca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Mazatlán W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 19.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pachuca W

Probability

80.6%

Model confidence

80.6%

Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pachuca WWDLLW

GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Mazatlán WLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pachuca WMazatlán W
44.4Attack31.4
66.7Defence0.0
44.4Form14.7
53.1Power19.6
3.22xG0.76
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