Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while León W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80