Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atlas W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80