Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Atlas W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60