Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pachuca W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while América W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 91.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60