Pachuca U21vs
Guadalajara Chivas U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/29/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pachuca U21 0-0 Guadalajara Chivas U21, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pachuca U21 2-2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Original prediction
Pachuca U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 39.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.6% | 30.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 29.7% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
Pachuca U21 0–0 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Pachuca U21
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Pachuca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80